Millions of us might be **** if we ignore the Russian-Ukraine war

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Re: Millions of us might be **** if we ignore the Russian-Ukraine war

#5921 Post by probes » Wed May 08, 2024 5:18 am

UKR data (based on debri and parts gathered this winter) - about half of the N-Korean ballistic missiles detonated half-way, somewhere 'up there', and lost programming for the target.
Massive attack by ruz tonight - Shahed, TU-95MS missiles (incl Kh-101/Kh-555/Kh-55). Energy facilities targeted and some hit.

Well, tomorrow's their 'big day'.

ruz oil depot hit and major fire in Lugansk, about 100 km from the front.
UKR has about 70 Leopard 2A4/2A6 tanks.
Donetsk - first signs of stabilising, probably the Czeck ammo has been received. T-90 ruz tanks on videos, meaning the best forces deployed around here. But ruz gained ground in Krasnohorivka. Another gain around Bilohorivka.
Robotyne is still a total shooting range for all kalibres and who comes there, dies there. Mil bloggers report that even the trenches have been bombed flat, so nowhere to hide for either side.

Two UKR col arrested on suspicion of assassination attempt on Zelenskyi. Life sentence. The plan was to direct missiles to their location and hopefully kill as many high mil as possible. Drones for surviving witnesses + another missile. That was the plan reportedly - would have been a nice gift to putin for the 'coronation'.
There have been several attempts on Zelenskyi, of course.
As for putin, he signed a plan to boost ruz to the honourable place of the 4th economy in the world by 2030. Well....
And of course, women have to give birth to more children.

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Re: Millions of us might be **** if we ignore the Russian-Ukraine war

#5922 Post by Fox3WheresMyBanana » Wed May 08, 2024 9:22 am

The T-90 Russian tank - absolutely invincible.

The T-90 Russian tank with a hatch open......
https://mstdn.social/@noelreports/112404234511749397

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Re: Millions of us might be **** if we ignore the Russian-Ukraine war

#5923 Post by probes » Wed May 08, 2024 12:23 pm

Air Force, meanwhile...
Russian Su-30 producer buys back over $400 million of own equipment in past 2 years
reportedly some of it with a higher price tag than when sold.

Despite supposedly having millions, ruz troops are running out - sometimes literally - also lack of work force has hit even the oil industry with their traditionally very well paid jobs. Recruits are promised more (and sometimes actually get, too, at least the initial payments when they sign up for the army), so are mil facilities' workers. A solution has been found, too:
Students of the Baltic State Technical University “Voenmech” are sent to military enterprises as an educational practice. Here they are forced to sign an employment contract and documents for access to state secrets. Students are required to fill out a questionnaire about their characteristics, type of activity, marital status, trips abroad, and also provide information about their immediate parents.
As for the nuclear drills putin announced (to take place soon) - ruz is expected to understand it would backfire, first and foremost because China wouldn't approve. Losing Chinese support would be a catastrophe. Nor would tactical nukes actually help much on the front. On the contrary, being the desperate measure it would indicate the nuclear straw was grabbed.

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Re: Millions of us might be **** if we ignore the Russian-Ukraine war

#5924 Post by probes » Wed May 08, 2024 12:50 pm

To celebrate the victory over nazism in the 2nd World War, ruz is showcasing western mil technology obtained during ruz aggression in its neighbouring country. Should we mention the victory would have been impossible without the help of several of the countries' funds and equipment displayed on the Red Square?


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Re: Millions of us might be **** if we ignore the Russian-Ukraine war

#5925 Post by probes » Wed May 08, 2024 2:49 pm

Ok, how crazy can it possibly get? :D
The Hill
New England Patriots owner Robert Kraft called out Russian President Vladimir Putin on Sunday, telling the leader to give him his “f‑‑‑ing ring back,” in reference to a long-running allegation that Putin stole one of his Super Bowl rings during a 2005 meeting.
---
With the mic in hand, Kraft poked fun at his former star quarterback, but also to spoke directly to Putin, telling the camera, “In case Vladimir Putin, you’re watching … give me my f‑‑‑ing ring back, will you?”
pics of the 'procedure' here: Vladimir Putin says Super Bowl ring was a gift — doesn’t remember meeting Patriots owner Robert Kraft or ‘stealing’ his ring

Back to topic:
On Thursday Russia will celebrate Victory Day, its commemoration of the defeat of Nazi Germany in 1945. Domestically, this is nostalgia. In the 1970s, Soviet leader Leonid Brezhnev created a cult of victory. Russia under Putin has continued the tradition.
Abroad, this is intimidation. We are meant to think that Russia cannot lose.
And far too many of us, during Russia’s war of aggression in Ukraine, have believed that. In February 2022, when Russia undertook its full-scale invasion of its neighbor, the consensus was that Ukraine would fall within days.
Even today, when Ukraine has held its own for more than two years, the prevailing view among Russia’s friends in Congress and in the Senate is that Russia must eventually win. Moscow’s success is not on the battlefield, but in our minds.
Russia can lose. And it should lose, for the sake of the world — and for its own sake.
The notion of an invincible Red Army is propaganda. The Red Army was formidable, but it was also beatable. Of its three most consequential foreign wars, the Red Army lost two.
It was defeated by Poland in 1920.
It defeated Nazi Germany in 1945, after nearly collapsing in 1941. (Its win in that instance was part of a larger coalition and with decisive American economic assistance.)
Soviet forces were in trouble in Afghanistan immediately after their 1979 invasion and had to withdraw a decade later.
And the Russian army of today is not the Red Army. Russia is not the USSR. Soviet Ukraine was a source of resources and soldiers for the Red Army. In that victory of 1945, Ukrainian soldiers in the Red Army took huge losses — greater than American, British and French losses combined. It was disproportionately Ukrainians who fought their war to Berlin in the uniform of the Red Army.
Today, Russia is fighting not together with Ukraine but against Ukraine. It is fighting a war of aggression on the territory of another state. And it lacks the American economic support — Lend-Lease — that the Red Army needed to defeat Nazi Germany. In this constellation, there is no particular reason to expect Russia to win. One would expect, instead, that Russia’s only chance is to prevent the West from helping Ukraine — by persuading us that its victory is inevitable, so that we don’t apply our decisive economic power.
The last six months bear this out: Russia’s minor battlefield victories came at a time when the United States was delaying Ukraine aid, rather than supplying it.
---
In the United States there is great nervousness about a Russian defeat. If something seems impossible, we cannot imagine what could happen next. And so there is a tendency, even among supporters of Ukraine, to think that the best resolution is a tie.
Such thinking is unrealistic. And it reveals, behind the nerves, a strange American conceit.
No one can guide a war in such a way. And nothing in our prior attempts to influence Russia suggests that we can exercise that kind of influence. Russia and Ukraine are both fighting to win. The questions are: who will win, and with what consequences?
If Russia wins, the consequences are horrifying: a risk of a larger war in Europe, more likelihood of a Chinese adventure in the Pacific, the weakening of international legal order generally, the likely spread of nuclear weapons, the loss of faith in democracy.
---
Like the United States and Europe, Ukraine celebrates the victory of 1945 on May 8th rather than May 9th. Ukrainians have every right to remember and interpret that victory: they suffered more than Russians from German occupation and died in huge numbers on the battlefield.
And Ukrainians are right to think that Russia today, like Nazi Germany in 1945, is a fascist imperialist regime that can and must be defeated. Fascism was defeated last time because a coalition held firm and applied its superior economic power. The same holds true now.


more from Opinion: Russia can lose this war by Timothy Snyder

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Re: Millions of us might be **** if we ignore the Russian-Ukraine war

#5926 Post by probes » Thu May 09, 2024 5:10 am

"Bradley in action" - and the UKR troops praise it, too.


And a new twist to DWail air crash scenarios:

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Re: Millions of us might be **** if we ignore the Russian-Ukraine war

#5927 Post by probes » Thu May 09, 2024 9:34 am

Parade not to be jammed (and putin said ruz is doing everything they can to avoid a global conflict... 'we just want Ukraine, for now' to be added for lip-readers?)
and another refinery on fire:


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Re: Millions of us might be **** if we ignore the Russian-Ukraine war

#5928 Post by probes » Thu May 09, 2024 11:30 am

A lone T-34 on the Red Square:

Image
Every year, Moscow wraps itself in patriotic pageantry for Victory Day, a celebration of its victory over Nazi Germany in the Second World War.
Today marks the 79th anniversary and Mr Putin addressed the parade in the Red Square, talking up his country's military capabilities in a speech aimed as much at a foreign audience as a domestic one.
More from Sky News, if you'd like to see the pics and mood, Russia Victory Day parade: Only one tank on display as Vladimir Putin says country is going through 'difficult period'


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Re: Millions of us might be **** if we ignore the Russian-Ukraine war

#5930 Post by tango15 » Fri May 10, 2024 9:45 am

I think the media are getting their refineries and re-supply stations mixed up, just as they do with runways and ramps. From what I've seen, the places that are being hit are pumping stations and re-supply facilities.
Many years ago in Siberia, it was explained to me that when the oil comes out of the ground it is warm and glutinous, so it has to be kept moving fairly quickly, thus requiring significant generating and pumping capacity. I was taken to one of these places, which looked very much like the ones in the recent clips. As such, the oil is useless at that point, but definitely inflammable.
That said, it is certainly worth hitting them, because it considerably disrupts the distribution systems, meaning the refineries have less fuel to process - a situation which has now trickled down to the populace in many areas.

Interesting comment from Putin re 'going through a difficult period'. What the means in real life is that the excrement has really hit the Xpelair and we're struggling.

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Re: Millions of us might be **** if we ignore the Russian-Ukraine war

#5931 Post by OFSO » Fri May 10, 2024 10:19 am

Is the oil radioactive ? From the Offshore Ayatollah, I've learned that disused and stacked pipes formerly used for raw oil have to be decontaminated if left to dry out as the contaminated residue in the pipe is radioactive.

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Re: Millions of us might be **** if we ignore the Russian-Ukraine war

#5932 Post by probes » Fri May 10, 2024 1:00 pm

No idea.
I've read somewhere, though, that if a well is closed (no market for the product, for example), it can't be just 'unplugged', it'll be like drilling a new one.
There's speculation on why ruz is unable to down the drones (as they did say they'd organised extra air defence to the facilities), and it's said to be about the Pantsir-1 systems. The radars do not 'see' drones.

ruz is active in the directions it has been active for a while, mostly no success except Avdiivka - even though another SU-25 was hit there. Hopefully a sign of US aid reaching frontlines.
Robytne is still the 'kill-zone'.
A bigger explosion in Mariupol, locals hinted at a troops center being hit.
ruz has a remarkable 'advantage' - they do not count their bodies and they do not want them back, so the graveyards do not show the real situation.
UKR: drones and spy drones are the real gamechanger (for now, anyway). Price is the decisive factor = no crypted comms generally. A balance has to be found for efficiency (camera, comms etc.), as the 'life expectancy' for drones is very low anyway. And 'flexible' frequency to avoid EW.
Therefore, some guns mounted on drones - like the UKR famous Baba-Jaga - will probably be the next step.
UKR, on the other hand, are pestered by the ruz spy drones (=direct fire on more expensive equipment). There were hints on something in development - we'll see.

And, despite all the ruz whatever, UKR is able to work out 'things' to develop their defence industry. Underground facilities, mostly.

Bad news - Ukraine says Russia is trying to break through its defenses in the northeastern Kharkiv region - last reports say ruz has crossed the border, but is not expected to be able to actually get to Kharkiv. Well, something had to be done to mirror the UKR army Russian Volunteer troops in and around Belgorod for several days a while ago.

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Re: Millions of us might be **** if we ignore the Russian-Ukraine war

#5933 Post by Fox3WheresMyBanana » Fri May 10, 2024 1:21 pm

It's nuisance actions. The Russians don't have the troops to occupy any meaningful area of Ukraine near Kharkiv, nevermind the impossibility of shifting significant troops and armour there covertly.
Indeed, Zelenskyi has just made a statement confirming they were well aware of Russian preparations.
I would agree with you that it's an attempt, probably to reassure the Russian populus, to counterbalance the Russian Volunteer corps.
Vovchansk appears to be the focus of Russian efforts, and the population is being evacuated.
I expect the effect will not be what putin wants. The Ukrainians will now be able to step up their actions inside Russia with declining objections to that from their allies.

Personally, I'd start with the RVC heading north towards Bryansk through the huge forest up there. It fits their previous MO for terrain, and the Russians will need every man and his dog to flush them out.

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Re: Millions of us might be **** if we ignore the Russian-Ukraine war

#5934 Post by Fox3WheresMyBanana » Fri May 10, 2024 1:31 pm

Speak of the Devil, the RVC are at the border right now..

https://mstdn.social/@noelreports/112416597980510662

Unclear where though..

First pics of Russian armour destroyed across the Ukrainian border, by about 3 klicks.
https://mstdn.social/@noelreports/112416352968730190
Claimed to be here. I can't confirm but seems likely.
https://www.google.com/maps/place/50%C2 ... ?entry=ttu

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Re: Millions of us might be **** if we ignore the Russian-Ukraine war

#5935 Post by probes » Fri May 10, 2024 3:52 pm

Yep. We'll see.

Meanwhile, peaceful ruz - submarine bus (drones attached above somehow):


The driver had lost control, they say.

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Re: Millions of us might be **** if we ignore the Russian-Ukraine war

#5936 Post by Fox3WheresMyBanana » Fri May 10, 2024 4:25 pm

..of himself, via vodka, by the looks of it.

To continue like that must have been full throttle - whether that's the driver or a stuck/broken throttle is a question, but if the driver was compos mentis I would have expected the use of the other vehicles and the railings to stop the bus.

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Re: Millions of us might be **** if we ignore the Russian-Ukraine war

#5937 Post by PHXPhlyer » Fri May 10, 2024 4:32 pm

In preparation for the Olympics the Russian judge gave the dive a TEN. :ymdevil:

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Re: Millions of us might be **** if we ignore the Russian-Ukraine war

#5938 Post by Fox3WheresMyBanana » Fri May 10, 2024 4:35 pm

I've seen better dives from Christiano Ronaldo.

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Re: Millions of us might be **** if we ignore the Russian-Ukraine war

#5939 Post by PHXPhlyer » Fri May 10, 2024 6:08 pm

US announces $400 million military aid package for Ukraine

https://www.cnn.com/2024/05/10/politics ... index.html

The US announced on Friday a new $400 million military aid package to Ukraine.

The package includes weapons Ukraine has been asking for, including Patriot missile system munitions, High Mobility Artillery Rocket System (HIMAR) systems and ammunition, Stinger anti-air missiles, 155mm artillery rounds, Bradley Fighting Vehicles, and Mine Resistant Ambush Protected Vehicles (MRAPs), among other equipment.

“As President Biden has made clear, the United States and the international coalition we have assembled will continue to stand with Ukraine in its defense of its freedom,” Secretary of State Antony Blinken said in a statement.

The announcement marks the second Presidential Drawdown Authority (PDA) package since President Joe Biden signed a long-delayed national security supplemental securing $60 billion in funding for Ukraine.

Last month, just moments after Biden signed the legislation, the US announced a $1 billion PDA package to Ukraine. Biden said at the time that shipments of the equipment to Ukraine would begin “in the next few hours.” And just two days later, Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin announced a historic $6 billion long-term investment package to purchase new equipment for Ukraine.

The $6 billion package — the largest the US has announced — is under the Ukraine Security Assistance Initiative (USAI). USAI is different from than the PDA package in that it contracts with the US defense industry to purchase new equipment, whereas PDAs pull equipment from existing US stocks.

While some equipment under the PDA can arrive within days of the announcement, support under USAI takes longer; Austin said at the time that the Pentagon was “going to move as fast as we can to get them the capability as fast as industry can produce.”

But officials have told CNN that Russia is seeking to exploit that lag time and step up its attacks on Ukraine as the embattled country waits for assistance to arrive. The lag in those shipments is made more severe given the months-long delay in aid as Congress debated the supplemental legislation.

On Wednesday evening, Ukrainian authorities said Russia launched dozens of missiles and drones on Ukraine, targeting energy infrastructure. On Friday, a Ukrainian military source told CNN that Russian forces had penetrated at least one kilometer inside northern Ukraine in an assault on a border town on Thursday evening.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said Friday that Russia “launched a new wave of counteroffensive actions in ([northern Kharkiv region). Ukraine met them there with our troops, brigades and artillery.”

“But our military and military command were aware of this and anticipated their forces to meet the enemy with fire,” he said. “Now there is a fierce battle in this area. … I think as of now we have stopped the enemy with artillery fire.”

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Re: Millions of us might be **** if we ignore the Russian-Ukraine war

#5940 Post by Fox3WheresMyBanana » Fri May 10, 2024 7:39 pm

Russian nukes in Belarus.
The NYT, from MAXAR satellite imagery, reckons they have located the storage depot
https://mstdn.social/@noelreports/112418007900740918
But FAS already found it 2 months ago
https://fas.org/publication/depot-in-be ... d-storage/
Shows how on the ball the legacy media are =))
The bunker is here. Usual extra fencing and a guard building have been added after the image below was taken.
https://www.google.com/maps/place/53%C2 ... ?entry=ttu

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